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First brokerage or sixth exchange? 

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Written by Xavier Mohr   
Thursday, 27 December 2007

By Xavier Mohr, SLReports.net

An Editorial

In a stunning nine-point post yesterday, L&L Bank and Trust (CapEx: LNL) CEO Lindsay Druart announced ambitious expansion plans that include the opening of a stock brokerage and global exchange at the bank's website, myllbt.com.

"The brokerage division is now L&L Bank and Trust Brokerage Exchange," said Druart. "Investors will openly trade LLBT’s portfolio on our enhanced website... this will be one stop shopping for all investment needs."

Druart says that companies not currently in the portfolio may be bid upon by investors through their enhanced trading system, at which point shares will be purchased by LNL from the applicable exchanges. Dividends will be paid to investor's accounts in the same way they would be at the respective exchanges.

An interesting twist to LNL's brokerage idea is a vague mention of "specifically-targeted funds and indices" that will be created to trade at the bank's website. An interesting note of this nature also appeared in an announcement from L&L Credit Reporting Agency and Business Services (CapEx: LCA).

"We currently have a few companies we are working with to introduce to the market," Druart said in the announcement, speaking also of the upgraded software at llcra.com, which now includes "CEO" and "Trades" links in the top menu.

"Our first candidates for IPO Inclusion will be introduced to the market within the next two weeks," added Druart. "... currently, we are solidifying business plans and 90 day action plans for these businesses."

In appearance, it would seem the missions of LNL and LCA are synergistic. LNL operates as a stock brokerage for trading various stocks on various exchanges, utilizing the same programmer of AVIX, CapEx, and ACE to create sophisticated software for doing so.

LCA will not only serve as Second Life's premier credit reporting agency, but will assist companies in going public, helping them IPO on the various exchanges... or perhaps even IPO'ing them under their own software for later trading at LNL.

Much is still unclear as the new LNL and LCA software slowly transforms and explains itself to potential customers.

The announcements fall short of explaining one burning question among Second Life traders... with these recent developments, will we see the first Second Life brokerage and IPO underwriter, or – in essence – will we see the sixth exchange?

LNL and LCA will compliment each other well by each serving one key function of a Second Life stock exchange... IPO a company at LCA, trade its shares at LNL.

Will Second Life investors take to the ideas, or will they turn away?

To me, all of this is very 'third-party'. Not only are the LNL and LCA investors subject to each entity's deposit reserves, but are also subject to the reserves of the original exchanges. They are also subject to relations between the organizations and the exchanges.

As well, in the unfortunate event that LNL or LCA failed, all exchanges would have an explosive situation on their hands. Former customers would turn to the original exchanges for the dissemination of the companies' portfolios. The exchanges would then have to distribute their shares – stock by stock – to hundreds of different investors... some of which may not have accounts.

Listed companies would also be faced with LNL or LCA no longer being a top or majority shareholder and fight with requests for board membership from shareholders they've never even met. All shareholder lists would be dramatically altered at same time.

A failure of LNL or LCA would bring the entire Second Life market to a screeching halt... even if they hadn't been all that successful.

Failures of individual exchanges would also throw wake at LNL and LCA. The companies' investment balances with said exchanges would be instantly obliterated. Assuming that LNL and LCA could survive the hit, trading prices and volumes at the home websites would go haywire as companies moved to different exchanges, each operating in new or different trading environments. Panicked sell-offs would either lead to trading halts at LNL or LCA, or runs on their respective finance avatars and ensuing liquidity issues.

The list of possibilities goes on and on here. What happens if LNL's or LCA's accounts are locked at the exchanges because of poor or strained relations? It would be much along the lines of an exchange failing, at least in its impact to LNL or LCA.

The ideas Druart proposes do, however, feed two sincere hungers of not only SL investors, but all web junkies period: simplicity and consolidation. Make it easy for investors to trade all the companies in existence in SL by combining them all in one or two websites. Not a bad idea... now I get to delete five bookmarks.

But this is going to be an idea that will have to prove itself fast if it wants to catch on. L&L Bank and Trust Brokerage Exchange will need to generate a lot of trade volume really quick to attract customers, since most savvy investors will cringe at the thought of having Linden Dollars locked away in an unmoving order at a bank with notoriously low interest rates.

In addition, this network will need – for long-term success – to attract new investment clientele that are not currently investing at the exchanges. I regret that if only existing SL investors are targeted as customers, that the entire system will suffer from horrendous volume and therefore fall to the very bottom of the Second Life stock exchange barrel by simple default.

Attracting new or unlikely investors by touting increased security or simplicity would be a key tactic here. Failing to do such would simply mean the system's trade volume was subject to the volume at the original exchanges, subject to the interests and finances of those exchanges' original first-hand investors. LNL and LCA must create new interest with this system, not rely on traders already experienced with the original markets.

In short, Druart will have to prove herself as a market maker, not a third-party trader.

This entire operation also appears it might be a bit steep to finance. Not only will LNL be paying interest on traders' accounts, but will be investing in other financial institutions, as well. The system will require non-brokerage profits to generate a vast amount of cash liquidity.

One key in profit generation no doubt lies in LNL's "specifically-targeted funds and indices," which would seemingly be subject to the same curse of requiring new or unlikely investors. And aside from everything else, can they generate double-digit percentage returns that may be needed to keep the whole thing afloat?

While I like a lot of the ideas behind LNL's and LCA's bold plans, I just have too many questions about important aspects of the business to really get all that excited right now. If this catches on, if it is fed by new investment... this could be good for all of us. There are, unfortunately, a lot of factors involved that make slow performance or failure of these new ventures a higher probability than the hype would have you believe.

As an investor, I think the safest bet for me right now is to wait for the IPO of Tango 11.

Comments
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SLReports.net User   | 2007-12-27 06:03:16
She obviously acquired the software from Allen Van Ackland. I'm curious to know if the whole time she was bitching about his negotiations with CapEx if she had actually secretly acquired his exchange software. Or, did she acquire this after Allen was kicked out of Second Life and paid him in RL knowing the proceeds would never get to AIGTSFALPALF depositors that he owed money too? Something is too fishy about all this.
SLReports.net User   | 2007-12-27 13:10:18
How is she paying for this? This sounds like something that requires a lot of money to do. If she's using bank money, what if these plans do not work, how will she pay the customers back?

What will happen to her traders if her bank does go under because of all these businesses that do not pan out?
Arnuad Villota   | 2007-12-27 17:30:33
Xavier Mohr wrote:
In addition, this network will need – for long-term success – to attract new investment clientele that are not currently investing at the exchanges. I regret that if only existing SL investors are targeted as customers, that the entire system will suffer from horrendous volume and therefore fall to the very bottom of the Second Life stock exchange barrel by simple default.


Xavier, I think you hit the nail on the head with that paragraph. The only way that this new thing will survive is to attract new blood!! Those of us who have been around longer than 3 months are very wary of this type of thing because it represents a lot of risk. I for one have been burned too many times to embrace this idea as a good thing! I am not saying that it is a scam; I just think it is a high risk. Right now my portfolio at SLCAPEX and ISE is risky enough; therefore I will be passing on this one for a while.

As far as the other comments, I don’t smell anything fishy. Lindsay has been using Unoti since the get go. Programmers tend to reuse designs (I am one, so I know) and then tweak them a bit. So the similarity to the old Allenvest site (and now the SLCAPEX site) does not surprise me. Unoti is a proven programmer with a solid record in my opinion. This doesn’t mean that Lindsay could have purchased this from Allen or weaseled it out of him, but I doubt that because 1) she doesn’t think that way, and 2) she wants her own thing and probably wouldn’t want to jeopardize her companies or holdings by being in cahoots with Allen. I suspect other people of being in cahoots with Allen, but Lindsay is not one of them.

Interesting question on how she is paying for this. I think the whole episode of the past week with Sully looking for private investors (well published in the forums) may answer that question. I was offered a chance at that action but I turned it down, not because it smelled like a scam, but because of the risk factor to my own portfolio. However I do agree with the point that this may be putting her bank and bank customers at risk because of other reasons that Xavier pointed out in his piece.

I wish Lindsay and company luck.
Lindsay Druart     | 2007-12-31 05:40:18
Acquired software for Sal Ackland? How ridiculous is that. Truth be told, we have ALWAYS had the capability from day one to run this system missing a few key elements that Unoti, Techinical Czar of Tango 11 put in. The system was already there. The switch just needed to be flipped. Keep in mind also, that LLBT existed before there was a CapEx. AVIX, LLCA, LLBT, and SLCAPEX have the SAME skeleton with differences unique to each.

If most would check the LLCA prospectus, it talks heavily about business services that will assist businesses with public listing and move them onto larger exchanges after 90 days. That was not a hidden mistery. LLCA is a credit reporting agency but the underlying goal of LLCA is to create honest businesses and people to operate in SL and bring companies to the financial market that had not thought to previous or feared doing so due lack of education. There are a lot of things encompassed in LLCA.

Clarification: LCA nor LLBT depend on each other for anything. All L&L companies are created with synergy in mind YES but none are dependant on the other for anything. There are always strick protections in place.

As for the portfolios on other exchanges, how do you think other banks make money? Maybe I am just the only one that admits it. But I challenge anyone here to ask other bank owners what is in their portfolio.

Yes, there are risks. There are always risks in everything we do in SL. But that risk has made a lot of us a lot of money. As far as the Global Exchange that is to come.....Well, I have stated many times that the L&L Brand will branch outside of SL and bring those profits home to the SL shareholders. The vision is still true.

LLBT may have low interest rates, but rates by a bank are dictated by revenue streams not the market. To solidify the future of LLBT and the brand, I have and will continue to do what is necessary for my customers and my shareholders. We have gone through 6 months of pain, and now it is time to heal.

Happy Trading....
Lindsay Druart     | 2007-12-31 05:50:14
Do you realize on average that 72% of customers that deal in SL banks know NOTHING about stocks and trading in SL??

Education and exposure is the key.
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Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved.

 
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